“Nepal’s population of 28.6 million in 2019 will increase to 36.45 million in 2053,” reads the report.

The report indicates that Nepal’s population will decline after 2053, while it will just have a population of 27.3 million by the end of 2100.

World Population Prospects – Nepal Population Over the Years

• Between 1950-2011, Nepal recorded a population growth between 0.06-2.6 percent each year
• The following three years 2012-14, Nepal’s population growth stopped. By 2014, Nepal’s population declined to 26.9 million, from 27 million in 2011

“Nepal, with 27 million inhabitants again in 2015, witnessed a continuous annual population growth till today,” the report said.

• According to the report, the current growth trend will continue until 2053
• By 2100, the country’s population will reach close to 27.3 million, while the total fertility rate is predicted to be 1.6 live births per woman, from 1.9 currently
• Nepal will record 1.68 million births in the period between 2050-55, from 2.8 million births in 2015-20.
• The number of births will decrease to 855,702 between 2095-100
• Between 2015-20, the infant mortality rate per 1000 births stands at 27,934, whereas it will stand at 6,148 between 2095-100.

“Number of deaths, both sexes combined, stands at 896,981 in 2015-2020, while the period of 2095-2100 is projected to record approximate 2,210,847 deaths,” the report states.

• Currently, the childbearing age for Nepali females is 25.24 years, which will increase to 31.02 years by 2100

In some cases, the falling population size is further increased by high rates of emigration and migration flow , which has become a major cause of population change in certain regions, says UN.

The UN report also stated that India will become the most populated country in the world and will continue to remain the same until the end of the century.

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Interview by Savina Xavier

Nepal’s rapid development is proof of initiatives at the grass-root level. NGOs at Nepal are drivers of such change, their constant efforts have fueled progress in uplifting the marginalized and poorest of poor in the country.

Back to Life (Back-to-life.org), Nepal is one such organization that has been working to improve health care, infrastructure, education, skill sets and human resource (HR) engagement in the provisions of such services.

It has been successful in engaging key stakeholders in delivering its services and has made considerable progress in reducing maternal, neonatal and infant mortality rates.

Talking about the future of Nepal, it says that the country has a lot of scope and that it is on the right track in terms of development.

It identifies the youth of Nepal as instrumental in the process of taking Nepal to greater heights. The organization believes that Nepali youth have very useful skill sets that can be tapped by the Nepal Government through creation of inbound opportunities.

Nepali Sansar finds it pleasure in interacting with ‘Back-to-Life’, which shares its experiences of working in Nepal and being part of the country’s development. Here are some excerpts from the interview:

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This report was collated by Nepal Ministry of Health and Population, its health partners and the WHO Country Office by extracting excerpts from some previous health policies and strategies which include the National Health Policy – 2014, Nepal Health Sector Strategy (2015-20) and international commitments made by Nepal Government.

These health statistics are important as they come at a time when Nepal is on the pathway to establishing political stability.

They determine the recently established Federal Government’s effectiveness in ensuring quality healthcare through the implementation of awareness programs, provision of quality drugs and collaboration with key health stakeholders.

Following are the findings of the report:

• Nepal’s life expectancy rate is steadily increasing. The life expectancy in 2011 stood at 65 years in comparison with 55 years two decades ago. The statistics indicate a 3.5-year increase for every 10 years since 2000
• The country’s progress in reducing maternal and child deaths has been internationally acknowledged, especially because the South-East Asian region records the highest maternal mortality rate
• Nepal is one of the six countries in the given region to have achieved the targeted MDG of ‘four’ in terms of infant mortality rate
• In the last two decades, child mortality in Nepal has been reduced by 72% and maternal mortality by 52%
• Instances of Polio, Leprosy (at the national level), Trachoma have been eliminated, while the country is also on track to completely eradicate Kala Azar and Lymphatic Filariasis
• There are significant achievements in reducing HIV and TB instances in the country
• Nepal is on track to achieve Malaria-free status by 2025
• The country’s population was about 26 million in 2011 and is expected to exceed 33 billion by 2030
• The ‘under-five’ infant mortality rate declined over the last couple of decades from 1000 live births to 21 in 2016
• The maternal mortality ratio decreased from 100000 to 239 in 2016
• The neonatal mortality rate decreased from 50 in 1991 to 33 in 2011

Nepal-WHO Strategy for 2018-2022:
Despite these motivating numbers, the Himalayan nation has a long way to go in dealing with its health issues. In this regard, the Nepal Health Secretary, Nepal Health and Population Ministry senior management and the WHO regional office sat together to prepare a four-point strategy that the WHO will implement over the next 5 years to secure its hold over the ever-cropping health issues.

1) Advancing universal health coverage in a federalized governance structure
2) Effective delivery of priority public health programs
3) Enhance health security and disaster preparedness and response
4) Multisectoral engagement and partnerships for improved health outcomes

We hope that Nepal Government with support from WHO and key health representatives will be able to achieve it health goals within the stipulated time frame.

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